Abstract

When are citizens willing to give up civil rights to enable governments to deal with large-scale emergencies in non-democracies? Emergency responses are one of the most fundamental public services governments provide. Digital transformations in government services both create new possibilities for effective emergency measures and greater intrusions on civil liberties. Existing work on public support for emergency responses suggests that individuals accept intrusive measures when they are credibly framed as temporary responses to actual emergencies. Such work has largely focused on democracies, however, where institutions constrain government abuses. On the one hand, individuals in non-democracies may be more skeptical of emergency measures due to lack of competition and opportunities for redress. Institutional trust should therefore play an important role in such settings. On the other hand, skepticism may be tempered by exposure to and fear of emergencies being addressed. We test these arguments using an original vignette experiment that manipulates the type of emergency intrusive measures address (terrorism vs. an epidemic) and their duration to support for them. We embed this experiment on a survey of more than 16,250 respondents across 60 Russian regions. Our findings provide important insights into the logic of responses to public safety threats and public opinion about them in non-democracies. 1 Junior Research Fellow, Ronald F. Inglehart Laboratory for Comparative Social Research. Lecturer, Faculty of Communications, Media, and Design, School of Integrated Communications. HSE University (Moscow, Russia). Email: [email protected]. 2 Corresponding Author. Assistant Professor, School of Politics and Governance. Research Fellow, International Center for the Study of Institutions and Development. HSE University (Moscow, Russia). Email: [email protected]. 3 Associate Professor, School of Politics and Governance. Programme Academic Supervisor “Politics. Economics. Philosophy.”. First Deputy Dean, Faculty of Social Sciences. HSE University (Moscow, Russia). Email: [email protected] 4 Assistant Professor, School of Politics and Governance. HSE University (Moscow, Russia). Email: [email protected] 5 Lecturer, School of Politics and Governance. Research Fellow, Faculty of Social Science. HSE University (Moscow, Russia). Email: [email protected] 6 This research is supported by the Faculty of Social Sciences, HSE University as part of the grant project ”Public Service Provision and Public Opinion of the Government during Digital Transformations: Evidence from Russia’s Regions”. It was pre-registered prior to the completion of data collection. For details, see Chmel, K., Marques, I., II, Mironyuk, M., Rosenberg, D., & Turobov, A. (2021, November 28). Privacy Versus Security in Trying Times: Evidence from Russian Public Opinion (Addendum). https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/QW8BS. 7 The authors would like to thank Sarah Wilson Sokhey and participants of the ICSID annual June conference for helpful advice at the early stages of this project. We would also like to thank Joshua Tucker, Arturas Rozenas, Denis Stukal and participants of the NYU Jordan Center and HSE University's joint seminar series for helpful comments. All errors remain our own.